Chapter 242 You don’t understand the basic principles of statistics

Being scored at the last second before half-time was undoubtedly a real fatal blow to Hyypia and Leverkusen.

What finally broke the deadlock was still the most powerful defense-breaking tool in football - set kicks!

Such a result will affect their deployment in the second half and the team's mentality in the second half.

This also means that their painstaking defensive counterattack tactics have been cracked by Hamburg.

Because with the ball in hand, Hamburg will not be in a hurry to press the formation again. They can even easily drop the ball in their own half, wait for Leverkusen players to grab it, and then open up the formation's space.

In the visiting team's locker room at halftime, Pan Yi also said this to the players:

"Now that we are in the lead, we must pay attention to controlling the rhythm of the game. We don't need to press so tightly, but we still need to firmly control the midfield, and we still need to pay attention to the counterattack of the opponent's forward."

"Their defensive formation is actually very good. If it weren't for De Bruyne's flash of inspiration, they might not be able to break through their defense. So don't be careless in the second half. If they don't press, we don't need to press."

Too deep."

"Almost in the second half, I will bring on Mitrovic to strengthen the high-point attack, and our midfielders will also need to strengthen long-range shots. This is a regular strategy when facing the bus, so I won't say more."

"In short, win this game and let Leverkusen compete for fourth place!..."

As for the home team, Hyypia decided to continue the tactics of the first half after careful consideration.

He had watched Ajax's away game against Hamburg. De Boer failed to calm down when his team was falling behind, and directly let the team turn from defense to offense. As a result, Hamburg was instantly defeated.

He needs to learn this lesson.

Continue to hold on and fight back with Hamburg!

Of course, some changes also need to be made in the rhythm of the game.

That is to increase the pressure and fighting intensity in the midfield and compete with the Hamburg Bayonet!

Since my skills are not as good as yours, I will compete with you on physical fitness and willpower. In fact, I will compete on consumption.

This is actually the strategy used by many weak teams when they encounter strong teams. Now Hyypia has put himself in the position of the weak team.

And when the opponent collapses, Leverkusen's opportunity will come.

It’s just that Hyypia knows that Hamburg is not a fuel-efficient lamp. Pan Yi has always attached great importance to physical fitness. It is impossible for Leverkusen to exhaust their physical fitness without paying the price.

So Hyypia asked Leverkusen's players to run to death in the second half!

He once saw a media statistics. In the Bundesliga this season's ranking of the total running distance of individual players, several of the top players were players from Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund.

Hamburg's players are ranked relatively low.

This gave Hyypia, who had never used such "high-tech data" to judge situations, confidence.

This shows that Leverkusen should be stronger than Hamburg in terms of players' personal physical fitness!

Therefore, he wants to take advantage of this team's strength to completely bring down Hamburg.

…

The time suddenly entered 70 minutes.

In the 25 minutes after the start of the second half, the two sides mainly fought near the center circle and did not create many shooting opportunities.

Vardy had a chance to shoot from the corner of the penalty area, but unfortunately he could not suppress the ball and the ball was slightly higher than the crossbar by a few centimeters.

Leverkusen once almost equalized the game with the help of a corner kick, but unfortunately Kruse flew over the goalkeeper and headed the ball wide. This proves that this team's lack of shooting skills is the main culprit that has led to their current decline in rankings.

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Of course, it is undeniable that Leverkusen, who was lagging behind, still showed full resilience.

They still withstood Hamburg's strong attack and were able to take advantage of limited opportunities to create threats.

And everyone can see that the consumption of both sides is really great now, and the players on the field are sweating profusely.

This is true for Leverkusen, and it is true for Hamburg.

But the players on both sides are still continuing and persevering.

In contrast, Hamburg's players seemed to be more relaxed, and their steps when running were obviously lighter than those of Leverkusen's players.

This made Hyypia on the sidelines feel slightly inappropriate.

Under normal circumstances, Leverkusen's current defensive formation does not require players to do too many interspersed runs, but only requires a careful overall formation, so the physical energy consumption should be lower than that of Hamburg.

After all, Hamburg has to defend and find ways to change positions and move in. Obviously, there are more things to do on the court and the consumption will be greater.

But why do you feel that your players can't outrun the Hamburg people?

At this time, Pan Yi also began to change people.

Mitrovic enters, Vardy exits.

Makoto Hasebe on top, Casemiro off.

Paulinho on, De Bruyne off.

Among these substitutions, except that Mitrovic came on to improve the high point and fulcrum ability of the frontcourt, the other two were to replace players with relatively high physical exertion and replace them with fresh forces.

In Pan Yi's 433 formation, based on the same game time, the order of positions from maximum to minimum physical energy consumption should be:

1. Two central midfielders: an all-around midfielder and a pseudo-winger, which are the positions Kante and De Bruyne currently play. Since they often have to play a linking role, they have to do both offense and defense personally, and the consumption is naturally huge.

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2. The defensive midfielder is the defensive midfielder in the middle. Casemiro's main task is to defend, but he can also take care of inserting, which consumes a lot of money.

3. Two wingers, that is, double inside forwards. Son Heung-min and Salah are the main hot spots on both sides of the frontcourt. They need to frequently break through with the ball and use speed to intervene at high speed to receive passes from teammates. In addition, they must pressure the opponent's defender.

Physical exertion is naturally inevitable.

4. Two full-backs. Similar to wingers, but after all, Robertson and Carvajal can still have "rest moments" such as upper left but not upper right, upper right but not upper left, and the consumption is smaller than that of wingers.

5. Center. Mainly responsible for fighting for the top and grabbing points in the penalty area, as well as pressing the central defender. Since the running distance is less than that of the wing, the consumption will be less.

6. Two central defenders. Needless to say, they must run the least in the game.

7. Goalkeeper. Even Neuer can’t run over 10,000 meters, right?

Therefore, when making substitutions, in addition to some necessary tactical purposes, Pan Yi gives priority to midfielders and wingers, which can ensure the normal operation of the team's tactics.

After all, when players' physical strength decreases, it will affect the execution of tactics.

Of course, this time Pan Yi replaced Casemiro and De Bruyne instead of Kante, purely because Kante's physical fitness is so good!

He's still running around the field now.

Shortly after Pan Yi made the substitution, the live TV camera was shown to the sidelines.

I found Hyypia walking around in the home team's command area a little restlessly.

He couldn't hide his anxiety and apprehension.

The game is approaching 80 minutes, which is the final stage, but the situation on the field is still so stalemate, and even Hamburg seems to be getting better and better!

What if you agree to use up all of them before attacking your opponent?

Did we agree that our players can run better than them?

How is this going?

Is the data wrong?

…

The data is of course correct. In terms of total personal running distance, Leverkusen players are indeed ranked higher than Hamburg players.

However, Hyypia just doesn't understand the basic principles of statistics.

All he sees is personal rankings.

And if he looks at the team's running data, he will find that Hamburg is far ahead!

Pan Yi's rotation range this season is amazing.

Like the high-consuming positions mentioned above, Pan Yi almost never lets players play two or three games in a row, and often replaces them to rest during games when the overall situation has been decided.

Moreover, there are some players who only play more time in important matches of the Champions League, but play less in the league.

Under such circumstances, if you compare the total running distance of individuals, how can Hamburg compare to other teams?

Even when comparing players' average running distance per game, Hamburg players do not necessarily have an advantage.

But if you go a little more detailed and compare the players' runs per unit time, then the Hamburg players will soon dominate the list!

Of course, no one would think so.

But the team's running data can tell it all.

The difference in these data shows how successful Pan Yi was in rotation.

There are a total of 26 players in the first team, and everyone has played, and not only in one or two games, or in garbage time, you name it.

Even those with the fewest chances to play have played at least three or four times, and have recorded goals and assists.

The excellent physical fitness of Hamburg players, tempered by Pintus, coupled with the "even rain and dew" rotation policy, has made Hamburg capable of operating on three fronts this season. The two can be said to complement each other.
To be continued...