686. China Ruhr Area (1)
"Hehe, Uncle Yang, you also know that my university major is to study economy, finance, and management, so I have always paid attention to the trend of national economic development. Since the 1990s, our country has increased its efforts in reform and opening up, and has placed a large part of its resources and policies towards light industry and export trade industries, and these industries have indeed brought us rich returns. But after this economic model has developed for ten years and we have become the so-called world factory, when we look back, we have lost all our heavy industry. On the other hand, the development of light industry and export trade industries seems to have reached a limit."
Yang Yuhe was not surprised by Li Yifan's opinion, but Xia Qinghe had to pay attention to Li Yifan at this time.
Although he was shocked by this kid when he was talking to their family about the ideal square for cooperation, the two sides had not had much contact since then. Although he knew that this kid was a genius, today the kid opened his mouth and still shocked him.
From the perspective of macroeconomics, he is right, but you have to know that he is just a child in his early twenties. How can he speak like an experienced expert in economics experts in colleges?
"In recent years, due to the import and export trade issues, we have frequently broken out trade frictions with the United States, the European Union, and even Japan and South Korea. For example, the United States' antitrust investigation on our export products, the EU's anti-dumping investigation on our shoes, the counterfeit products, and Japan, South Korea and we have frequent agricultural trade frictions. These all show that our export capabilities have reached the brink of excess. In college, many classmates from Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and eastern Guangdong, and even a few of them do import and export business at home. The information I get from their mouths is that the business is getting harder and harder to do now. The competition is too fierce, and the international business environment is not particularly good."
What Li Yifan said is the basic situation, but people like Yang Yuhe and Xia Qinghe who can access the data of the Ministry of Commerce know that there are indeed some problems in the current domestic economic development model, especially the export-oriented economy dominated by import and export, has developed to an absolute bottleneck period.
"The new leadership team will come to power next year. After they come to power, the first thing they have to face is how to choose a good one. During their term of office, they can provide impetus for the economic development of our China for a long time. To put it bluntly, it is to find a suitable and brand new engine that can drive economic development."
When Li Yifan said this, a hint of surprise finally flashed across Yang Yuhe's face. He could understand these things. For children of this age, is this kid a little too evil?
"Oh? Then what will be the new engine that the new leadership team will find to drive economic development?"
The smile on Yang Yuhe's face was quite playful, and Xia Qinghe looked at Li Yifan at this time, and the look of interest was also full of interest. The young man in front of him really had the ability to surprise him.
"Hehe, there is nothing else, that is, two items, one is real estate, and the other is the automotive industry."
"Play!"
The wine glass that Xia Qinghe had just held up in his hand couldn't help but fall onto the dining table again. How did this kid's head grow? How could he guess this?
The economic development proposition of the new leadership team is actually no secret for their level, especially those with thousands of relationships in the center.
You don’t need to contact the new leadership team. As long as you have contacted their think tank, you can know these secrets.
But those think tanks of leaders are not something that people at the level of Li Yifan can get in touch with, but this kid actually guessed, what exactly did this kid do?
"Oh? Why do you think so?"
Yang Yuhe has long been used to Li Yifan's demonic performance, and what he is more interested in is how this guy guessed it.
"Hehe, it's actually very simple. Just learn from Japan and South Korea's economic development path and you can guess that the path we are taking now has been taken. Another point is that the current Prime Minister, who is doing real estate reform with such a big fanfare, isn't it just paving the way for successors?"
Li Yifan smiled and fooled him. How could he tell me that he was a veteran?
"Haha, this can only explain that real estate can be used as an economic engine for future development, but how can you guess the great development of the automobile industry?"
Yang Yuhe asked again.
"The proposition of the new generation of real estate economy, corresponding to it, is population urbanization, and a large number of foreign populations pour into cities, which will bring great expansion to cities. After the city expansion, transportation will naturally become a problem. In addition, with the development of the past few years, some middle-class people have emerged in China, and they naturally have higher requirements for the quality of life. Therefore, it should be natural to privatize cars. Besides, the country has been shouting the slogan to stimulate domestic demand for many years. In the past, I used to take home appliances, but now I should find a new consumption point that allows people across the country to spend a lot of money? What else is more suitable than a car?"
Although Li Yifan's explanation is a bit far-fetched, if you analyze it carefully, it will be considered a matter of course and there are no loopholes in the words.
"Well, what's going on, then what do you think our northern province should establish in this new economic reform?"
Yang Yuhe’s question was very obscure, but in fact, it means, what do you think we should do?
But I can't ask this in front of Xia Qinghe and others, so I used a more literary statement.
"Hehe, this is a good opportunity for our Northern Province to make a comeback! Uncle Yang, our Northern Province used to be a national heavy industrial base, steelmaking, ironmaking, and mechanical manufacturing, but they are our strengths. And in the future, these two industries, one real estate and the other automobile industry, have the ability to open the fields we are good at? So I think we should seize this opportunity, face difficulties, increase efforts to overcome difficulties, cultivate and improve our own talent system, and revitalize our husband's base in North Province."
"You have to do it, don't give me all these fake clichés. I'm more than you said. You can do something for us."
Yang Yuhe waved his hand and interrupted Li Yifan's empty words. It seemed that he really took Xia Qinghe as a confidant, and did not avoid Xia Qinghe. At this time, Xia Qinghe listened more seriously than him.
"Just say, which one should we grasp? Or, which industry, like the real estate or the automobile industry, is tilted?"
Yang Yuhe has been swaying between this problem before. The foundation left by Northern Province is indeed quite strong, but over the past ten years, even the solid foundation of the family is almost done. Therefore, as the government of Northern Province, if there is no tilt of national policies and resources, there is really no way to achieve the situation of taking into account both industries, so he must choose one of them as the target of key support and tilt.
"Hehe, it depends on Uncle Yang, your ambition or what is it?"
Li Yifan's expression was very strange, and Yang Yuhe felt a sudden heart.
"What does this mean?"
"If you are engaged in real estate, especially if you are engaged in real estate in the province, you will know that this land project is small, the results are fast, and it can drive the growth of GDP the most quickly. Many people can rely on this and become political stars. However, the side effects of this thing are also very obvious, that is, the people may not be able to afford it. The income of ordinary people in our northern province is there, which is worse than that of other developed regions in the country. Moreover, such projects often leave a lot of local debts, leaving a mess for their later successors, and are easy to breed and cause people to feel hostile to us."
Li Yifan said this, and Yang Yuhe's expression began to become solemn. It turned out that he also seemed to be dominated by real estate, but now it seems that he has to be cautious.
"But if we make great efforts to develop industry, it will be a different scene. This is a century of livelihood. Look at the industrial enterprises in Japan and Germany. They are not the main body of national development, and even if there are many leadership teams, they dare not underestimate these industries. Just talk about the automobile industry, look at Japan and Germany. They are not the best. Their products are exported to the outside world. Our Chinese market is almost divided by them and the Americans. So in my opinion, this is an opportunity. If we take the slogan of revitalizing the old industrial base and building the domestic Ruhr area, and vigorously develop the machinery industry or automobile industry, there is no need to say that compared with Japan and Germany, as long as we can really make products that can occupy the domestic market, our achievements will be amazing. Uncle Yang, think about it, the development history of our domestic household appliances, and then think about this domestic automobile, it seems that it is still blank in China now..."
Li Yifan's words made Yang Yuhe fall into deep thought. Real estate is indeed effective quickly, but it is easy to end up being scolded. However, if you can make a name for yourself in the automobile or the machinery industry, it will be a great achievement and will be praised for a long time. This is political capital.
Chapter completed!